Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5172 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 9

OO 5172 · ORD → COS

departs 9:36 PM CT · arrives 11:13 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ COS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

COS (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5172 · ORD → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?