Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5230
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
OO 5230 · IAH → ABQ
departs 5:01 PM CT · arrives 6:30 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 20%
Wed 11/11 28%
Thu 11/12 21%
Fri 11/13 18%
Sat 11/14 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 633 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.06 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.