Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5479
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
OO 5479 · SFO → MRY
departs 12:05 PM PT · arrives 1:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sun 11/8 30%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 18%
Wed 11/11 31%
Thu 11/12 30%
Fri 11/13 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MRY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MRY?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at MRY that day
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MRY (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.