OO 5751 · SFO → EUG

departs 4:34 PM PT · arrives 6:16 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EUG?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at EUG that day

↑ 4pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at SFO that day

↓ EUG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5751 · SFO → EUG

Odds over time

How late will it get to EUG?