Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5811
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
OO 5811 · ORD → FNT
departs 3:36 PM CT · arrives 5:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 19%
Wed 11/11 32%
Thu 11/12 39%
Fri 11/13 35%
Sat 11/14 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at FNT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FNT?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FNT (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.