Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
OO 5938 · OTH → SFO
departs 1:33 PM PT · arrives 3:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 33%
Wed 11/11 42%
Thu 11/12 42%
Fri 11/13 57%
Sat 11/14 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave OTH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at OTH that day
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OTH (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.26 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.