Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6496
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
OO 6496 · DFW → SAF
departs 3:58 PM CT · arrives 4:51 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 13%
Wed 11/11 21%
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13 22%
Sat 11/14 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAF (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.