Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

QANTAS · FLIGHT QF 21 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 9 Today

QF 21 · MEL → DFW

departs 2:41 AM AEDT · arrives 1:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEL

Weather at each end

MEL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QF 21 · MEL → DFW

Odds over time