Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3086 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:59 PM ET, ETA 3:37 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 9 Today

SY 3086 · CVG → MSY

took off 2:59 PM ET · expected to land 3:37 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 2pm departures from CVG are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts1 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3086 · CVG → MSY

Odds over time