tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1213 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1213 · EWR → MCO

departs 4:15 PM ET · arrives 6:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±10 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.