tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1844 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1844 · EWR → SFO

departs 4:33 PM ET · arrives 7:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±14 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.