UA 2174 · EWR → MSY

left the gate 9:26 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 9:26 PM ET → 11:52 PM CT)

Your aircraft is N17422 (B39M), coming in as UA 2796 from PHX: landed 7:10 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MSY (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2174 · EWR → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?