UA 2179 · SFO → LAX

took off 11:21 PM PT · landed 12:18 AM PT (scheduled 10:37 PM PT → 12:19 AM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAX (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2179 · SFO → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?