UA 2390 · SFO → AUS

departs 5:18 PM PT · arrives 11:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9.66667 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts1 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2390 · SFO → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?