Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2416SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2416 · SEA → SFO
departs 1:09 PM PT · arrives 3:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
35%chance · ±5 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.