tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2454 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2454 · EWR → BNA

departs 4:05 PM ET · arrives 5:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±9 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BNA?

  1. On time or early
    73%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.