Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2608 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 9

UA 2608 · IAH → EWR

departs 2:49 PM CT · arrives 7:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

EWR (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2608 · IAH → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?