UA 2781 · DEN → RAP

took off 7:37 PM MT · expected to land 8:22 PM MT (scheduled 7:26 PM MT → 8:50 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RAP?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 52% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ RAP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RAP (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2781 · DEN → RAP

Odds over time

How late will it get to RAP?