UA 735 · EWR → PMO

took off 10:12 PM ET · expected to land 12:37 PM CET (scheduled 9:49 PM ET → 1:15 PM CET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PMO more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PMO?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 9pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PMO (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 735 · EWR → PMO

Odds over time

How late will it get to PMO?