UA 96 · SFO → BNE

took off 11:38 PM PT · expected to land 6:26 AM AEST (scheduled 11:22 PM PT → 7:19 AM AEST)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BNE more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNE?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

BNE (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 96 · SFO → BNE

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNE?