tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1484 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

WN 1484 · SLC → OAK

departs 10:40 AM MT · arrives 11:40 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
7% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to OAK?

  1. On time or early
    92%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.