Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1656
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 1656 · DAL → AUS
departs 10:10 PM CT · arrives 11:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 57%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 19%
Wed 11/11 32%
Thu 11/12 50%
Fri 11/13 52%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.