Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1722
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
WN 1722 · ELP → PHX
departs 7:46 PM MT · arrives 9:15 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8 41%
Mon 11/9
Thu 11/12 44%
Fri 11/13 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
ELP is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.