Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1924
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 1924 · OAK → PDX
departs 6:55 PM PT · arrives 8:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Mon 11/9
Thu 11/12 45%
Fri 11/13 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
PDX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.