Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2037
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 2037 · HNL → OGG
departs 8:25 PM HT · arrives 9:21 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 7%
Wed 11/11 10%
Thu 11/12 12%
Fri 11/13 11%
Sat 11/14 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
This flight has been late 8% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
OGG (destination)
Gusts 29 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.