WN 2259 · LAS → BHM

departs 1:28 PM PT · arrives 7:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±4 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from LAS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2259 · LAS → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?