Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2612
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 2612 · SJC → SEA
departs 9:30 PM PT · arrives 11:41 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Mon 11/9
Thu 11/12 43%
Fri 11/13 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SJC that day
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.