Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2732
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
WN 2732 · MCO → AUS
departs 9:46 PM ET · arrives 11:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8 46%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 15%
Thu 11/12 37%
Fri 11/13 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.