WN 324 · AUS → ELP

departs 7:32 PM CT · arrives 8:16 PM MT

Your aircraft is N243WN (B737), coming in as WN 324 from HRL: still at HRL, due off about 6:22 PM CT, 20 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

59% chance · ±0 pts +29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts1 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

ELP (destination) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 324 · AUS → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?