Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3296
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 3296 · SAN → SFO
departs 8:51 PM PT · arrives 10:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 77%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 23%
Wed 11/11 28%
Thu 11/12 46%
Fri 11/13 52%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.