Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 363
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 363 · AUS → LAX
departs 9:50 PM CT · arrives 11:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Mon 11/9
Thu 11/12 42%
Fri 11/13 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.17 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.