Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3704
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
WN 3704 · SAN → HNL
departs 9:54 AM PT · arrives 2:19 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Sun 11/8 22%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 26%
Wed 11/11 28%
Thu 11/12 34%
Fri 11/13 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.