Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3717
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
WN 3717 · SAN → OAK
departs 8:37 AM PT · arrives 10:16 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sat 11/7 24%
Sun 11/8 15%
Mon 11/9
Thu 11/12 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.