Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3832
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 3832 · SEA → SJC
departs 8:41 PM PT · arrives 10:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Mon 11/9
Thu 11/12 47%
Fri 11/13 53%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at SJC that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.22 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 100 ft
Visibility 0.2 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.