Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4591
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
WN 4591 · ELP → DAL
departs 10:43 AM MT · arrives 1:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sun 11/8 9%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 14%
Wed 11/11 16%
Thu 11/12 14%
Fri 11/13 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
ELP is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.