Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4762
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 4762 · STL → HOU
departs 9:41 PM CT · arrives 11:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 27%
Wed 11/11 25%
Thu 11/12 41%
Fri 11/13 36%
Sat 11/14 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from STL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
STL (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.