Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4825
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 4825 · HOU → HRL
departs 10:20 PM CT · arrives 11:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 30%
Wed 11/11 34%
Thu 11/12 46%
Fri 11/13 41%
Sat 11/14 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at HRL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HRL?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 767 ft Visibility 5.33333 mi Precip 0.07 in
HRL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 733 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.