Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 837
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
WN 837 · HOU → BZE
departs 11:40 AM CT · arrives 2:10 PM CST
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Sun 11/8 12%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 15%
Wed 11/11 15%
Thu 11/12 15%
Fri 11/13 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at BZE more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BZE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at BZE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BZE?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
BZE (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.