Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 9003
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
WN 9003 · HOU → DAL
departs 5:29 PM CT · arrives 6:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 11/9
Fri 11/13 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
DAL (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.