Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR PREMIA · FLIGHT YP 111 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, November 9 Tomorrow

YP 111 · ICN → SFO

departs 4:09 AM KST · arrives 8:20 PM PT

Your aircraft is HL8387 (B789), coming in as YP 102 from LAX: still at LAX, due off about 10:56 AM PT, 697 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ICN

Weather at each end

ICN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YP 111 · ICN → SFO

Odds over time