YV 6160 · IAH → STL

departs 2:41 PM CT · arrives 4:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YV 6160 · IAH → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?