tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4529 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

YX 4529 · ORD → MCI

departs 10:42 PM CT · arrives 12:23 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.0d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCI?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.