9E 4647 · DTW → BHM

departs 3:53 PM ET · arrives 4:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BHM?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into BHM at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4647 · DTW → BHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BHM?