9E 5090 · GSP → DTW

took off 6:48 PM ET · expected to land 8:01 PM ET (scheduled 6:48 PM ET → 8:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DTW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

GSP (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5090 · GSP → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?