Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 411 IN THE AIR (OFF 5:04 PM CT, ETA 6:21 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, November 10 Today

9X 411 · DFW → HOT

took off 5:04 PM CT · expected to land 6:21 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HOT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ HOT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOT (destination) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 411 · DFW → HOT

Odds over time