Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 419 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:04 AM CT, ETA 11:19 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, November 10 Today

9X 419 · DFW → HOT

took off 10:04 AM CT · expected to land 11:19 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HOT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into HOT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOT (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 419 · DFW → HOT

Odds over time