Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1224SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1224 · ORD → JFK
departs 6:39 AM CT · arrives 9:53 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±1 pts−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.