AA 2253 · SNA → DFW

departs 10:44 AM PT · arrives 3:50 PM CT

Your aircraft is N334SM (B38M), coming in as AA 2253 from DFW: landed 9:24 AM PT.

Forecast issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2253 · SNA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?