Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2407SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2407 · PHL → SFO
departs 8:05 AM ET · arrives 11:05 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.