Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2635 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

AA 2635 · DFW → ONT

departs 12:20 PM CT · arrives 1:49 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ONT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2635 · DFW → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?